- 發布時間：2013-04-07 23:07 | 所屬欄目：Finance代寫 | 瀏覽次數：1900

As Banks over a period of time in the future thesis畢業論文代寫 credit balances by political, military, macroeconomic and market and the influence of some emergencies, these factors there are a lot of uncertainty and randomness. So Banks over a period of time in the future balance of credit business there are a lot of uncertainty and randomness, can be seen as a random variable, or referred to as non-performing loans.

Assume that bank lending in the credit business

**thesis畢業論文代寫**in the next period of time minus the total balance for X, which is formed by the borrower's repayment of capital because of the commercial bank credit business have difference compared with the international balance of payments, there is a balance of payments deficit in the balance of payments and balance of payments surplus, and the balance in the bank credit business (that is, the amount lent to borrowers repayment of capital = X), is a positive, that is to say, acuity 0 X constant, because we know that the total amount of lending and borrowers also by principal in theory should be equal, so the type in the commercial bank credit business zhongheng was established.Might as well assume that a bank's credit business lending for R, total amount and the maturity of the borrower's debt for R1, the interest on the net income from the bank for the R1 (rd - ri), including rd, ri of interest on the loan and deposit interest respectively. We assume that there is a balance, make its meet:

<标题> R = R1 + R1rd - R (rd - ri) (1)

The author is called credit balance. (1) after finishing can be obtained:

X = R - R1 (2)

R - R1 = R1rd - R (rd - ri) (3)

Merge (2), (3) can be obtained

X = R1rd -r (rd - ri) (4)

The author defined the credit balance can be represented simply by using the (4). When X? Feng R1rd -r (rd - ri), can know the difference lies in the balance of credit business, on the left of the is the loss of points, the author calls credit business deficit; When X? Silage R1rd -r (rd - ri), the author calls credit business surplus. Then, according to the correlation analysis can get X is the balance in the bank credit business can be regarded as a random variable, in the long run because of the difference lies in the balance of the balance of the credit, therefore it is assumed that the X the mean to 0, the uncertainty of variance for? Chamber 2. Obviously, the uncertainty of the X variance? Bad loans from Banks in chamber 2 is bigger, the scale and the greater the uncertainty.

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